Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.611860 0.693415 0.780285 0.879540 0.989635 1.107838 1.244173
2025-09-21 0.491163 0.605448 0.736037 0.895592 1.084523 1.300318 1.564620
2025-09-28 0.388870 0.519228 0.678345 0.885162 1.144979 1.458528 1.863274
2025-10-05 0.332538 0.477781 0.666009 0.924544 1.266632 1.699557 2.283966
2025-10-12 0.287181 0.442053 0.654266 0.960865 1.386005 1.947282 2.735352
2025-10-19 0.242670 0.399384 0.625940 0.969325 1.466772 2.149640 3.143470
2025-10-26 0.205825 0.361216 0.597600 0.972349 1.537670 2.341918 3.551079
2025-11-02 0.175750 0.328088 0.571352 0.973653 1.603809 2.530196 3.964842
2025-11-09 0.150830 0.298903 0.546618 0.973001 1.664825 2.713275 4.381739
2025-11-16 0.130776 0.274513 0.525893 0.975227 1.728658 2.903039 4.819161
2025-11-23 0.112240 0.249532 0.500421 0.965747 1.771232 3.061105 5.216343
2025-11-30 0.100405 0.235241 0.491643 0.983186 1.858439 3.293745 5.742417
2025-12-07 0.086377 0.214314 0.468313 0.972836 1.898578 3.455199 6.169374
2025-12-14 0.076694 0.200791 0.457226 0.983473 1.975845 3.682731 6.717777
2025-12-21 0.065765 0.182383 0.433835 0.967860 2.004022 3.828492 7.138643
2025-12-28 0.061228 0.177996 0.438621 1.007611 2.137008 4.162925 7.897397
2026-01-04 0.056913 0.173338 0.442138 1.044919 2.267932 4.501210 8.680809
2026-01-11 0.050898 0.163153 0.432072 1.052851 2.342395 4.742350 9.306786
2026-01-18 0.045271 0.152819 0.420169 1.055358 2.405837 4.966464 9.913572
2026-01-25 0.040251 0.143079 0.408237 1.056289 2.465665 5.186657 10.523837
2026-02-01 0.035746 0.133824 0.396118 1.055292 2.520974 5.400827 11.133118
2026-02-08 0.031941 0.125820 0.385943 1.057493 2.582733 5.630210 11.781217
2026-02-15 0.028048 0.116591 0.371215 1.047200 2.616523 5.806417 12.337145